sábado, 26 de octubre de 2013

Comparativa del poder adquisitivo en España y el resto de Europa

¿Cuánto se diferencia realmente el poder adquisitivo de un ciudadano promedio español del de sus homólogos europeos? 

Realizar una comparativa de salarios y precios entre diferentes países sin excesivo rigor ni contexto puede dar lugar a conclusiones bastante engañosas. Así por ejemplo todos sabemos que pagar 1.40€ por litro de gasolina no supone el mismo esfuerzo económico en Austria que en España.

Mapa del poder adquisitivo en Europa elaborado por GfK GeoMarketing 


Para hacer una comparativa representativa del poder adquisitivo de un país el primer punto de referencia debe basarse en el salario anual, y debe ser un salario que identifique claramente al mayor porcentaje de la población del país, no nos sirve el salario mínimo ni tampoco el salario medio. 

El salario medio, que todavía sigue siendo el más empleado en los medios de comunicación, no es nada representativo (y menos aún para la estructura salarial española), ya que como bien explican en gaussianos "es muy sensible a valores extremos. Es decir, si tenemos algún valor mucho mayor que la mayoría de los datos la media nos saldrá muy grande respecto a los mismos, y al revés si el valor extremo es mucho más pequeño que los demás". Si queremos saber qué sueldo es el que mejor describe a un país el que deberíamos tener en cuenta "sería el que quede justo en el centro de todos (ordenados de menor a mayor), el que deja a la mitad más pequeña de los datos a su izquierda y a la mitad más grande a su derecha. Ese dato se denomina mediana, y representa la situación real mucho mejor que la media".

Por tanto teniendo claro que el dato de referencia debe ser el salario mediano la mejor fuente que puede emplearse es la de Eurostat que nos suministra regularmente los datos salariales de todos los países del continente y entre los cuales está el salario mediano neto. La siguiente imagen ilustra la situación en el año 2011, el último año del que el organismo europeo dispone de datos completos.


Salario mediano neto anual en el año 2011 (Fuente: Eurostat)

Los ingresos netos se derivan de los ingresos brutos y representan la parte de la remuneración que realmente queda en manos de los asalariados para gastar o ahorrar. Los ingresos netos no incluyen las cotizaciones a la seguridad social ni los impuestos.

Pero al estar trabajando con los salarios netos no estamos teniendo en cuenta el diferente costo de la vida en cada uno de los países. Para hacer una buena comparativa del poder adquisitivo entre un país y otro no es suficiente con comparar los salarios sin más, deben tenerse en cuenta los precios entre distintos países y lo que un ciudadano europeo puede hacer con su salario. 

Para ese cometido vamos a utilizar el índice de nivel de precios (PLI según sus siglas en inglés), también  suministrado por Eurostat, que nos sirve para comparar los precios de bienes y consumos de un país con respecto a otro (o en relación con un grupo de países, como la Unión Europea), dividiendo las paridades del poder adquisitivo (PPA) por el tipo de cambio nominal actual. Así si el índice de nivel de precios de un país es mayor que 100, el país en cuestión es relativamente caro en comparación con aquel al que se compara, mientras que si el índice de nivel de precios es menor que 100, entonces el país es relativamente barato en comparación con el otro país. Los índices de nivel de precios no pretenden clasificar a los países en sentido estricto. De hecho, sólo sirven como magnitud de referencia a la hora de comparar el nivel de precios en un país en relación con otros.


Fuente

Al igual que para el caso de los salarios y a falta de datos actualizados y validados para 2013 debemos conformarnos con evaluar la situación existente en el año 2011. Esto significa por poner un ejemplo que en ese año en España las cosas eran un 2.8% más baratas que en la media europea. En Francia eran un 10.2% más caras. Por lo tanto en Francia las cosas son un 13.2 % más caras que en España. Esto incluye también los impuestos indirectos como el IVA (los existentes en 2011). 

Tomando por tanto el dato del salario mediano neto por país y el índice de nivel de precios ya podemos comparar y ajustar el poder adquisitivo entre los diferentes países. Y si fijamos el nivel de precios español como el de referencia los resultados son los que se muestran en el siguiente gráfico

Fuente: Eurostat, datos de 2011

Tras el proceso de cálculo tenemos que el país europeo en el que "mejor se vive" resulta ser Noruega. En la práctica tendríamos que un ciudadano promedio en Noruega ganaría casi 2000 € netos al mes tomando como punto de referencia el nivel de vida y salario neto promedio existente en España (1040€). Hay que recordar que al tradicional estado del bienestar y a la buena salud económica escandinava Noruega le añade además el impacto de sus reservas petrolíferas con lo que no resulta complicado explicar su posición de privilegio.

Posteriormente le seguiría Suiza con algo más de 1700€ netos mensuales y luego un nutrido grupo de países del norte de Europa que se acercarían a los 1500€, o lo que es lo mismo, el alemán, sueco o belga promedio tendría un 40% más de poder adquisitivo que un español, dispondrían de 400 euros mensuales de más siempre tomando como punto de referencia a España y su nivel de vida. O dicho de otra forma, con el mismo trabajo pueden comprar un 40% más de cosas. Recordad que en este punto, los impuestos ya han sido descontados, y el nivel de vida equiparado.

En este contexto hay que apuntar que recientes sondeos han puesto de manifiesto que los españoles declaran que para estar plenamente satisfechos con su poder adquisitivo necesitarían ingresar unos 750 euros más al mes. Si lo comparamos con estos datos llegaríamos a la razonable conclusión de que al español promedio le gustaría tener el poder adquisitivo que hoy ya ostenta cualquier ciudadano promedio en Suiza.



Si seguimos observando el gráfico vemos que otro de los aspectos llamativos es que España se ve superada por Eslovenia, lo que si bien a primera vista es un dato que puede sorprender, quizás no lo es tanto si tenemos en cuenta que Eslovenia siempre fue la más próspera de las seis repúblicas yugoslavas, y hoy en día tiene un PIB per cápita superior al de Grecia o Portugal, y menor tasa de paro que Italia o Irlanda. 

Echando un vistazo a países con menor nivel salarial que España podemos ver como el portugués promedio tendría aproximadamente un 25% menos de poder adquisitivo que su homólogo español. Por último destacar que los ciudadanos búlgaros o rumanos son los que menor capacidad económica tienen del conjunto de países evaluados. Un rumano promedio tiene por ejemplo seis veces menos poder adquisitivo que un noruego y casi cuatro veces menos que un español.

 ¿Qué sucede si en vez de tomar como referencia el salario mediano tomamos el salario modal, es decir, el salario más frecuente? 

Siguiendo el mismo criterio pero tomando como referencia ese salario más frecuente lo más significativo sería el liderazgo indiscutible de los países escandinavos. En esta estadística son casi inalcanzables por el resto de europeos, lo que pone de manifiesto que no solo son países ricos, sino que también son los más igualitarios del planeta. 


Fuente: Eurostat, datos de 2011

El sueldo modal en Noruega (el que más gente de su país tiene) es de más de 1800€ (una vez hecho el ajuste con poder adquisitivo). En Suecia o Dinamarca se acerca a 1600 euros lo que supone prácticamente el doble del salario modal del español promedio. En otros países como Francia o Alemania el salario más frecuente es un 50% superior al del español.

Para ilustrar bien este concepto vamos a comparar las gráficas de distribución salarial en Francia, Alemania y en España. Puede observarse como el reparto es bastante más homogéneo y justo tanto en Francia como en Alemania. Para un excelente análisis de estos datos y en particular sobre la desigualdad salarial en nuestro país remito al lector a este fantástico post publicado recientemente en el blog Ciencia-explicada.



Las fuentes de datos salariales españolas nos muestran una fotografía similar a la hora de evaluar nuestra distribución salarial, por ejemplo veamos la distribución de salarios elaborada por el INE (tomando sueldos brutos en vez de netos).


Como vemos buena parte de la población española se engloba en los tramos más bajos de la distribución salarial, de ahí que el salario modal o más frecuente sea tan bajo. Si miramos los datos del INE en 2011 prácticamente el 44% de los asalariados españoles tenía unos ingresos netos inferiores a 1.000 euros netos al mes. 

Por su parte según el Barómetro del CIS de julio de 2013 el 63,6% de la población española gana menos de 1.200 euros netos.



Fuentes: Eurostat (1, 2, 3), INECiencia-explicada, Gaussianos

206 comentarios :

  1. No se de donde sacan estos datos pero vivo en Suiza y el salario medio no es el que se indica aqui, tanto ponderado como sin ponderar.

    Es bastante mas alto, sobre el doble de lo que se indican en los gráficos. Se que los datos vienen de Eurostat, pero estan completamente fuera de rango.

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    Respuestas
    1. Pero fíjese usted en que es el salario mediano/modal, no el salario medio.

      Por otro lado, vivo en la República Checa y puedo confirmar que el salario modal mostrado se ajusta a la realidad.

      Eliminar
    2. Obviamente todos los cálculos parten de la base de que las cifras de Eurostat son las reales. Por lo general suele ser un organismo muy fiable y riguroso en todas las estadísticas que aporta.

      Por si tuvieses interés en contrastar las fuentes de Suiza quizás en la sección de metadatos de la estadística tengas más información.

      Saludos.

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  2. Muy interesante (y desmoralizador). Se ve que Gfk GeoMarketing cree en la situación colonial del archipiélago canario.

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    Respuestas
    1. Es un fallo que muchas veces tienen los mapas europeos, no hacer referencia a las zonas que suelen llamarse "ultraperiféricas", donde se englobarían las Islas Canarias, las Azores, Madeira, Malta, la Guayana francesa, etc.

      En cambio hay otros mapas (como por ejemplo los de Eurostat) que siempre reservan una sección para mostrar esas regiones.

      Un saludo

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  3. Esto es un "¡zas, en toda la boca!" para aquellos que cuando dices "en tal país se cobra más que en España" contestan "sí, pero también es todo más caro...".

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    Respuestas
    1. No es ningún "'¡zas!": eso es una realidad. Viviendo en Chequia cobro menos de la mitad de lo que cobraba en España, pero gasto algo más de la mitad en vivir con las mismas condiciones. Puedo ahorrar, pero de forma mucho más lenta que en España. La calidad de vida, en cambio, es superior para mi por otros motivos (por ejemplo, sociales o de convivencia).

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  4. Mil gracias por explicarlo con tanto detalle y tan paso a paso que hasta los de "letras" lo podemos entender.
    Triste es que hasta los números nos griten la realidad a la cara.

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  5. Muxisimas gracias, gran trabajo. Nada golpea tan duro como las cifras, cuando las cifras no se dan sesgadas.

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    Respuestas
    1. Además del interés personal en el tema, fue precisamente lo complicado que es localizar algún informe que muestre este tipo de datos sin sesgos o cifras engañosas es lo que me motivó a hacer esta entrada.

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  6. Acabo de descubrir este blog, y quería felicitarle por el magnífico trabajo que hace en él. Me lo apunto y trataré de leer con calma todos los artículos. Muchas gracias por su labor.

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  7. Lo que no dice el analisis es que el pib de españa es altisimo y comparado con francia no hay mucha diferencia si se tiene encuanta la poblacion, por ejemplo aqui el salario minimo esta en 700 euros y en francia es el doble 1400 euros, tiene un 10% de paro, es decir que para que alli vivan como aqui las cosas deberian ser el doble de caras y desde luego que no es asi ni en broma. Alemania no me parece que sea un ejemplo de riqueza pues el 20% trabajan por apenas 300 euros, es decir yo mas bien diria que su situacion es parecida a la de españa encuanto a bienestar.La explicacion sobre el pib y los salarios en españa es que hay una diferencia entre ricos y pobres exagerada al extremo, los ricos no pagan impuestos y eso hace que cualquier rico pueda augmentar facilemente su fortuna a costa de los trabajadores Amanzio ortega dueño de zara que paga a sus trabajadores el salario minimo tiene la tercera mayor fortuna del mundo 47000 millones, el caso es que españa peto por la burbuja porque hubo mucha gente que se hizo rica a costa de hacer pisos y venderlos a precios desorbitados, aqui en españa lo que hay es un problema parecido al de los paises pobres diferencias de salarios altisima y un monton de ricos que quieren explotar a la gente.

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    Respuestas
    1. las verdades a medias son mentira.

      Un 20% a 300 euros en Alemania es mejor que 20% cobrando del paro. Y además la inmensa mayoria tienen esos trabajos porque quieren .Como prejubilados y estudiantes o amas de casa. Al menos trabajan en A no en B como aquí.

      Si ZARA puede pagar en Bangladesh a 100 euros al mes y aqui a 800 euros, pues limpio para el tio Amancio, o es que crees que se ha hecho multimillonario regalando la pasta?. Es un explotador que luego da 4 chavos para limpiar su conciencia y pagar su respeto.

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  8. Hola, quería felicitarte por tu magnifico blog.
    Sigue así, estás haciendo una labor divulgativa muy buena.

    ResponderEliminar
  9. Estas estadísticas incluyen las horas extras?
    Gracias

    ResponderEliminar
  10. Que maravilla de blog, hace tiempo que lo conozco, pero, parece que no hay tiempo para todo.
    Me gustaría hacerte una sugerencia, creo que si las fotos que pones tuviesen más calidad sería mucho mejor.
    Saludos y gracias!

    ResponderEliminar
  11. Descarao desorejao29 de agosto de 2014, 15:20

    Pues la realidad es bastante peor de la que se deduce con este artículo si tenemos en cuenta que de los salarios"buenos" que hay en España, una parte importante están relacionados con la hipertrofiada administración pública. Si en España no hubiera tanto funcionario cobrando 1500 euros netos al mes(un funcionario no es un productor, cobra de los impuestos que se sustraen a la actividad económica privada ), la situación nos colocaría casi a la raya de Portugal.

    España es cara, es cutre, insegura y tercermundista. Eso de"España es una mierda, pero al menos hay calidad de vida" se va a ir al cuerno porque estamos de gentuza y delincuentes hasta la bandera.
    En los países del este aunque sean económicamente más pobres, al menos la sociedad está más"sana".
    Ex-paña, la Venezuela de Europa.

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  12. Para conocer el poder adquisitivo hay que tener en cuenta si con las retenciones a los sueldos por impuestos al trabajo también se pagan servicios que después no hay pagar.
    En este sentido, a mismo sueldo, alguien con servicios públicos de acceso gratuito porque están financiado con impuestos tiene más poder adquisitivo. No sé si el PLI lo tiene en cuenta.

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  13. No hay duda que con esta crisis y sobretodo los recortes todos hemos perdido poder adquisitivo, mientras que el sueldo promedio ha bajado uno 5% el de los altos directivos ha aumentado en un 14%, asi nos va.

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  14. No esta mal ,pero no tiene en cuenta las retenciones de salario, se consideran sueldos brutos, y por supuesto la economía sumergida....España es de los países de la UE con más coches de alta gama, y teniendo en cuenta el patrimonio en los que la población es más rica comparativamente. Y por supuesto tampoco se tiene en cuenta las fluctuaciones de las monedas...Suiza tiene un salario alto, pero el salario mínimo para sobrevivir según sus sindicatos es de 3.000€ al cambio. No se tienen en cuenta los precios de la vivienda, el coste medio de energía (no es lo mismo en Noruega que en España) y sobre todo el dinero libre que le queda a un ciudadano al mes después de pagar impuestos, vivienda y comida. En Noruega la gente sale un día al mes como mucho, aquí la gente puede salir a cenar o de copas cuatro días por semana.

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  15. Es por ciudades pero es válido: file:///C:/Users/Juanjo/Downloads/P_L_2012_en.pdf

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  16. Perdón: http://www.ubs.com/global/en/wealth_management/wealth_management_research/prices_earnings.html

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  18. Lo que es una realidad que España se ha apuntado a un club de ricos (Europa) y como a Portugal y otros no queda grande. Esta claro que la devaluación salarial es un hecho y crecer en productividad a base de eso es un desastre para el pueblo. La banda de clase media a encogido aumentando la banda baja. Los salarios no crecen, pero si los gastos, agua luz etc etc. A parte del regalito inflacionado de los miles de hipotecas que se firmaron a valores irreales que nos han condenado a sobrevivir básicamente. La inflación es estadística de datos, y el petróleo no se come. Si no se mejora la estructura económica de España aportando más valor añadido,a nivel productivo e I+D, pero para eso hace falta tener claro en que gastar la pasta,no saldremos de esta, ni locos. En ciudadano de a pie restringe sus gastos a la mínima, pero el estado sigue y sigue con su feliz obesidad morbida, a base de deuda y más deuda...hasta cuándo? El día que el cajero no expenda más deuda que haremos?

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